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Nghiên cứu XM - 6 giờ trướcBullish

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD turns up after 2½-month low

GBPUSD meets uptrend lineStochastics and RSI are mixedGBPUSD is reversing yesterday's losses, which marked a new two-and-a-half month low of 1.2840. The pair is battling with the medium-term ascending trend line again, raising chances for a bullish correction of the 1.3433–1.2840 bearish wave.The technical oscillators show some mixed signs.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 8 giờ trước

RBA in wait-and-see mode despite drop in inflation – Preview

RBA to stand pat at 4.35%Aussie may not be affected from this meetingDecision due on Tuesday at 3:30 GMTRBA policy to remain unchangedThe upcoming Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) policy meeting on November 5 is highly anticipated, with the bank adopting a wait-and-see approach and holding the cash rate steady while monitoring economic developments.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 9 giờ trước

Week Ahead – US election draws all eyes, Fed, RBA and BoE meet

Traders lock gaze on Tuesday’s US electionTrump and Harris battle neck and neck in final stretchFed to decide whether to cut interest ratesRBA and BoE decisions are also on next week’s agendaThe US dollar flexed its muscles lately on the back of upbeat data suggesting that there is no need for the Fed to deliver another bold 50bps rate cut at the remaining gatherings of the year, but also due to increasing market bets that Donald Trump will return to the White House.It’s US election time!T
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Nghiên cứu XM - 9 giờ trước

Tech rally turns to selloff ahead of NFP and US election - Stock Markets

S&P 500 headed for second weekly dip as gains turn to lossesNasdaq pulls back from record highs as AI jitters returnApple earnings add to outlook worries but Amazon impressesTech rally stumblesIt’s been a turbulent week for Wall Street as, despite a positive start, renewed concerns about excessive spending on artificial intelligence (AI) dragged Big Tech stocks lower mid-week.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 11 giờ trước

Daily Comment – Volatility returns with a vengeance ahead of key US events

Month-end pushes stock indices and gold in the redMarket angst could continue going into Tuesday’s US electionFocus today is on the US labour market dataDollar fails to benefit against the euro and the yenMonth-end pushes stock indices in the redThe recent, relatively quiet, market sessions were interrupted yesterday, with a strong correction recorded in both equities and gold.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 12 giờ trướcBearish

Technical Analysis – WTI crude oil recoups bearish gap

WTI crude oil runs to 71.00 critical level near downtrend lineMomentum oscillators reflect positive biasWTI crude oil prices recovered the bearish gap that was created in the preceding week and is currently testing the medium-term downtrend line near 71.00.The price has added more than 6% over the last couple of days with the technical oscillators mirroring the latest upward wave.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 ngày trước

Dollar could get a boost from Friday’s US jobs data – Preview

Markets are preparing for next week’s US electionKey US data on Friday, a week before the Fed meetingAnother strong set of data could endanger the Fed rate cutThe dollar could get a meaningful boost against the yenUS election in the spotlightThe US presidential election continues to monopolize the market’s interest. While the outcome is uncertain, most investors have a pretty good idea of the economic agendas of both candidates.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 ngày trước

Quick Brief – PCE inflation adds to strong US data run ahead of Fed decision

Core PCE price index stays unchanged at 2.7% y/yPersonal consumption accelerates to 0.5% m/mBut US dollar stays on the backfoot Inflation as measured by the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index fell to 2.1% y/y in September, but the underlying measure was unchanged at 2.7% y/y. The decline in the headline figure was in line with expectations but core PCE was forecast to have moderated to 2.6% y/y.The data underscores worries that underlying price pressures are proving to be stick
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 ngày trước

Midweek Technical Look – EURJPY, US 500, Gold

EURJPY tumbles from 3-month high ahead of BoJ policy meetingUS 500 posts notable losses near 5,800Gold slips from all-time high but remains above ascending channel
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 ngày trướcBearish

US 500 index stands below 20-day SMAMACD and RSI lose momentumThe US 500 (cash) index is tumbling beneath the 5,830 region, approaching the short-term uptrend line, which has been drawn since the beginning of August. A plunge below this line could send traders towards the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at 5,740 before meeting the restrictive re
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 ngày trướcNeutral

Technical Analysis – Could the AUDUSD selloff pause temporarily?

AUDUSD is trading sideways, a tad above 0.6547The downtrend from the September 30 high remains in placeMomentum indicators are mostly bearishAUDUSD is trading sideways today, a tad above 0.6547. The bearish trend from the September 30 peak remains firmly in place, and, quite interestingly, AUDUSD bulls have failed, up to now, to stage an upleg and temporarily interrupt the ongoing selloff.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 2 ngày trước

Quick Brief - Oil prices rebound after unexpected drop in gasoline stockpiles

US gasoline stockpiles drop to a two-year lowOPEC+ could delay a planned production increaseChinese manufacturing PMI also a helping handOil prices rebounded on Thursday, perhaps buoyed by demand optimism in the US after gasoline stockpiles dropped unexpectedly to a two-year low last week, according to the Energy Information Administration (EIA).What may have also encouraged investors to buy more oil were reports that OPEC and its major allies, known as the OPEC+ group, could delay a planned pro
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Nghiên cứu XM - 2 ngày trước

Daily Comment – Dollar slips amid stronger yen and euro, data barrage continues

Yen up after Bank of Japan sounds more hawkish than expectedEuro climbs on stronger German GDP and inflationDollar choppy after mixed US data, focus turns to PCE inflationStocks struggle on earnings outlook worriesYen gets unexpected boostThe yen firmed up on Thursday after the Bank of Japan struck a somewhat more hawkish-than-expected tone as it kept rates on hold but signalled it remains on track to raise rates further.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 2 ngày trướcBullish

Technical Analysis – USDCAD rallies near 22-month peak

USDCAD in massive bullish run this monthMACD and RSI hold in overbought areasUSDCAD added more than 3% so far this month, posting an incredible bullish rally with no notable bearish waves. The price is currently approaching the previous 22-month high of 1.3947 with the next resistance taking place at 1.3975, achieved in October 2022. Steeper bullish run could take the market until the 1.4100 psychological level, registered in February 2016. But traders need to be cautious at the 1.4000 handle fi
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Nghiên cứu XM - 2 ngày trước

Quick Brief - US Q3 GDP disappoints but ADP employment beat lifts dollar

US economy grows by 2.8% in Q3 versus 3.0% expectedADP employment points to strong month for jobs in OctoberUS dollar heads north but more tests on the wayThe US GDP report kicked off the run of crucial data for the next three days, paving the way for next week’s policy meeting by the Federal Reserve. GDP growth came in slightly below expectations in the third quarter, printing at 2.8% against forecasts of 3.0%.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 2 ngày trướcNeutral

Technical Analysis – EURUSD posts bullish spike near 200-day SMA

EURUSD erases today’s gainsStochastics and MACD still suggest upside momentumEURUSD has continued to develop between the medium- and long-term ascending trend lines, despite the bullish spike towards the 1.0860 level earlier in the day. The 1.0775 support looks to be a tough obstacle for the bears, and only a closing session beneath it would sw
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Nghiên cứu XM - 2 ngày trước

Quick Brief – Eurozone GDP exceeds expectations

Eurozone GDP expands by 0.4%Germany posts 0.2% growthEuro/dollar shows signs of upside recoveryThe Eurozone economy expanded more rapidly than anticipated in the previous quarter; however, the outlook remains subdued due to the potential for excessive tariffs from a Trump presidency and the escalation of trade tensions with China.The Eurozone GDP grew by 0.4% in Q3, marking the highest growth rate in two years, subsequent to a 0.2% increase in Q2 and surpassing projections of 0.2%.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 2 ngày trước

Bitcoin celebrates increasing odds of Trump victory – Crypto News

Bitcoin flirts with record high due to ‘Trump trade’SEC grands access for options on crypto ETFsETF inflows accelerate ahead of US electionBTCUSD seems ready to enter uncharted territoryBitcoin the king of Trump tradesBitcoin gained another 3.85% on Tuesday, extending the latest bullish wave that started on October 26, and nearly hitting its record high of $73,803. What may have encouraged traders of the crypto king to flirt with record levels may be the increasing bets that Donald Trump wil
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Nghiên cứu XM - 2 ngày trước

BoJ to stand pat; Yen under pressure – Preview

BoJ expected to leave rates at 0.25%Lowest inflation since April at 2.5%Yen dives to new 3-month lowDecision comes out on Thursday at 03:00 GMTBoJ to leave rates unchangedThe Bank of Japan (BoJ) is anticipated to maintain its existing interest rates during the policy meeting on October 31. This decision reflects Governor Kazuo Ueda’s prudent strategy, highlighting the necessity to evaluate risks, especially those associated with the US economy and fluctuating markets.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 3 ngày trướcNeutral

Technical Analysis – Gold rallies ahead of key US events

Gold is trading higher again todayVolatility is high ahead of key US data printsMomentum indicators remain bullishGold is trading higher again today, recording a new all-time high, following a very strong performance on Tuesday. This move could be attributed to the dollar being slightly on the back foot today, but, most likely, the incoming key US data releases and the market’s angst regarding next week’s events are the main reasons for the latest upleg.
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