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USD/JPY faces double-dose of election risk

BUZZ-COMMENT- USD/JPY faces double-dose of election risk The yen is facing mostly downside risks as it hovers around the key 152 pivot level ahead of U.S. elections next week. The currency is among those in Asia vulnerable to depreciation if tariff-supporter Donald Trump secures the U.S. presidential nod next week. The uncertainty is reflected in one-week yen volatility climbing to 16.4%, the highest level since early August.
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Argentina cuts interest rate as inflation outlook eases

UPDATE 2-Argentina cuts interest rate as inflation outlook eases Adds rate background and context throughout By Jorge Otaola BUENOS AIRES, Nov 1 (Reuters) - Argentina's central bank cut its benchmark interest rate by 500 basis points to 35% on Friday in a surprise move, signaling growing optimism that it can tame the country's triple-digit inflation.

South African rand edges higher after manufacturing PMI, US jobs data

UPDATE 1-South African rand edges higher after manufacturing PMI, US jobs data Updates prices to reflect afternoon trade JOHANNESBURG, Nov 1 (Reuters) - South Africa's rand edged higher on Friday after the release of a purchasing managers' index (PMI) for the domestic manufacturing sector, and U.S. jobs data. At 1512 GMT, the rand traded at 17.5675 against the U.S.
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Brazil's real hits three-month low among Latam currencies

EMERGING MARKETS-Brazil's real hits three-month low among Latam currencies Updated at 1457 GMT MSCI Latam stocks, FX indexes set for weekly declines Brazil's industrial output rises more than expected in Sept Argentina's central bank trims rates to 35% MSCI Latam stocks index down 0.7%, FX down 0.4% By Johann M Cherian Nov 1 (Reuters) - A Latin American currencies index dropped on Friday, with Brazil's real touching a three-month low as domestic economic woes and uncertainty around U.S.
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Mexico inflation to rise slightly in 2024, GDP to dip, central bank poll finds

Mexico inflation to rise slightly in 2024, GDP to dip, central bank poll finds MEXICO CITY, Nov 1 (Reuters) - Private sector analysts raised Mexico's inflation forecast for the end of this year to 4.45% and reduced their estimate for economic growth to 1.40%, according to a survey by the Mexican central bank, released on Friday. The benchmark inter

EUR/USD investors aren't ready to buy into the weak US data story

BUZZ-COMMENT-EUR/USD investors aren't ready to buy into the weak US data story Nov 1 (Reuters) - EUR/USD hit a 13-session high Friday then turned lower as investors are not buying into U.S. data indicating slower jobs and economic growth. October NFP came in at 12k versus Reuters poll estimate for 113k. August and September NFPs were revised sharply lower.
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Ukraine bonds staged October rally as Trump prospects weighed

Ukraine bonds staged October rally as Trump prospects weighed LONDON, Nov 1 (Reuters) - Ukraine's international bonds rallied sharply in October as markets placed bigger bets on the chance of a second Donald Trump presidency following U.S. elections next week, with some believing it may result in a quicker end to conflict. The country's dollar-denominated bonds, which launched in early September after the country's debt restructuring , added as much as 6 cents last month, according to Tradeweb d

Dollar pares gains after weak US jobs data

FOREX-Dollar pares gains after weak US jobs data Strikes, hurricanes deal US labor market a likely temporary blow Traders firm bets on Fed interest-rate cuts after data Sterling set to snap 5-week losing streak Updates to U.S. morning By Saqib Iqbal Ahmed NEW YORK, Nov 1 (Reuters) - The dollar pared gains against the euro on Friday after data showed U.S.
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Sterling regains swagger after softer than expected US payroll data

BUZZ-COMMENT-Sterling regains swagger after softer than expected US payroll data GBP/USD regained its footing after a whippy few days which saw the pound fall from high of 1.3043 to Thursday's low at 1.2845, the bid aided by rising gilt yields and today's soft payrolls release which may prod cable to re-test recent highs as we head into U.S. elections on November 5. Thursday's GBP/USD slide, though short-lived, may provide a clue as to which way traders are leaning.
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History sets the playbook for US election FX impact

RPT-BUZZ-COMMENT-History sets the playbook for US election FX impact Repeats with no changes Nov 1 (Reuters) - Looking at the past two U.S. elections and the subsequent fallout across the FX space can give us a rough playbook as to how FX will likely trade on either a Donald Trump or Kamala Harris victory. In 2016, Trump’s shock victory led to a wave of dollar buying across the board, most notably against the euro, yen, MXN and AUD – the last, in large part due to being a liquid China proxy
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USD/CAD overbought signal is not a clear negative

RPT-BUZZ-COMMENT-USD/CAD overbought signal is not a clear negative Repeats with no changes Nov 1 (Reuters) - Canadian dollar selling has shown little sign of letting up with USD/CAD extending gains through 1.3900, which now puts the pair within touching distance of the 2-year range highs at 1.3975. Currently, USD/CAD is up over 3% in October – the largest monthly rise since September 2022, which in turn has seen the daily RSI move further into overbought territory having breached 75. While the
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Argentina's central bank trims interest rate as inflation eases

CORRECTED-UPDATE 1-Argentina's central bank trims interest rate as inflation eases Corrects paragraph 2 to indicate rate cut is the seventh under Milei, not the sixth Nov 1 (Reuters) - Argentina's central bank cut its benchmark interest rate to 35%, from previous 40%, the monetary authority said in a statement on Friday morning, as upward pressure on prices comes down in South America's second-biggest economy.

Argentina's grains export revenue jumps more than 200% in October

UPDATE 1-Argentina's grains export revenue jumps more than 200% in October Adds details BUENOS AIRES, Nov 1 (Reuters) - Argentina's farm sector brought in a total o f $2.55 billion through exports in October, a 243% increase compared to the some month a year earlier, the CIARA-CEC oilseed and grains crusher chamber and exporters said on Friday. CIARA-CEC noted in a report that revenues from the sector's companies rose nearly 3% compared to September.

Yields fall, shares rise after muted response to October payrolls data

GLOBAL MARKETS-Yields fall, shares rise after muted response to October payrolls data Nonfarm payrolls increased by 12,000 jobs last month S&P 500 futures up 0.5% British gilts steady after budget sell off Oil up 2.2% on reports Iran preparing a strike on Israel Caixin PMI shows China's factory activity returned to growth Updates at 1255 GMT By Alun John LONDON, Nov 1 (Reuters) - U.S.
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Argentina's central bank trims benchmark interest rate to 35%

Argentina's central bank trims benchmark interest rate to 35% Nov 1 (Reuters) - Argentina's central bank cut its benchmark interest rate to 35%, from previous 40%, the monetary authority said in a statement on Friday morning. Reporting by Adam Jourdan

Self-proclaimed bitcoin inventor faces contempt of court case over $1.2 bln UK lawsuit

Self-proclaimed bitcoin inventor faces contempt of court case over $1.2 bln UK lawsuit LONDON, Nov 1 (Reuters) - An Australian computer scientist who claimed he invented bitcoin was on Friday accused of contempt of court after he filed a 911 million-pound ($1.18 billion) lawsuit against Twitter founder Jack Dorsey's payments firm Block SQ.N in Britain.
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CANADA Canadian dollar strengthens, benchmark yield slips

CANADA FX DEBT - Canadian dollar strengthens, benchmark yield slips The Canadian dollar strengthened against the greenback on Friday, and the yield on benchmark government debt slipped. The loonie CAD= was trading 0.2% higher at C$1.3911 to the greenback, or 71.89 U.S. cents, after trading in a range of 1.3904 to 1.3942. Canadian government 10-year bond yields CA10YT=RR fell 3.4 basis points to 3.188%.
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Russia's central bank seen poised for another 100 bps rate hike in December

POLL-Russia's central bank seen poised for another 100 bps rate hike in December reuters://realtime/verb=Open/url=cpurl://apps.cp./Apps/econ-polls?RIC=RUGDPYAP Poll data Russia's inflation seen at 8.1% in end-2024 Central bank seen hiking key rate to 22% on Dec 20 Russian rouble seen at 100 to U.S. dollar in 12 months By Elena Fabrichnaya and Gleb Bryanski MOSCOW, Nov 1 (Reuters) - Russian inflation will hit 8.1% at the end of the year, above the current government's forecast, while the central
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Argentina's grains export revenue jumps 243% in October

Argentina's grains export revenue jumps 243% in October BUENOS AIRES, Nov 1 (Reuters) - Argentina's farm sector brought in a total $2.55 billion through exports in October, a 243% increase compared to the some month a year earlier, the CIARA-CEC chamber of oilseed and grains crushers and exporters said on Friday. Reporting by Jorge Otaola, Writing

Dollar dips after US job growth slows sharply in October

FOREX-Dollar dips after US job growth slows sharply in October NEW YORK, Nov 1 (Reuters) - The dollar erased early gains to trade lower against the euro on Friday after data showed U.S. job growth slowed sharply in October amid disruptions from hurricanes and strikes by aerospace factory workers. Nonfarm payrolls increased by 12,000 jobs last month after surging by a downwardly revised 223,000 in September, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics said on Friday.
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