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Bitcoin celebrates increasing odds of Trump victory – Crypto News

Bitcoin flirts with record high due to ‘Trump trade’SEC grands access for options on crypto ETFsETF inflows accelerate ahead of US electionBTCUSD seems ready to enter uncharted territoryBitcoin the king of Trump tradesBitcoin gained another 3.85% on Tuesday, extending the latest bullish wave that started on October 26, and nearly hitting its record high of $73,803. What may have encouraged traders of the crypto king to flirt with record levels may be the increasing bets that Donald Trump wil
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Daily Comment – Wall Street lifted by earnings as election jitters boost gold

US dollar and gold remain elevated as markets bet on Trump winBut Nasdaq hits record amid optimism about tech earningsSlew of data awaited out of the US and Eurozone, UK budget also eyedUS election angst still driving sentiment  Growing anxiety about the US presidential election continued to set the market mood on Wednesday, with Republican candidate Donald Trump extending his gains in the polls.
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Volatility jumps as markets prepare for action-packed period – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility climbs to a new monthly highVolatility remains very elevated in both gold and silverStock indices continue to experience average volatility Euro/dollar volatility continues to increase, achieving a new 30-day high, as the markets are preparing for Friday’s jobs report, and next week’s US presidential election and the Fed meeting.
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Daily Comment – Dollar maintains gains amidst fragile market conditions

Markets prepare for a 10-day long rollercoaster rideFocus today on earnings but key US data in sightGold and bitcoin rally, oil suffers, and 10-year US yield reaches 4.3%Yen suffering might linger as party negotiations continueImportant data week, Alphabet reports todayMarket participants are gradually preparing for an action-packed week, with Friday’s US jobs report being the key event, that also includes some major earnings releases.
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Cryptos prepare for a tumultuous period – Crypto News

Cryptocurrencies are on the back foot this weekBitcoin continues to outperform ethereumUS and Japan elections to impact cryptocurrenciesBitcoin fails to break above $70k levelMixed performance by the key cryptocurrenciesThe cryptocurrency market is starting to feel the chills as the US election is less than a fortnight away. Actual voting is underway with more 25m Americans having already cast their votes, particularly in the crucial states that will determine the election’s outcome.Bitcoin ha
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US elections update: The race to the White House tightens

Trump closes in on Harris’s lead in the pollsNeck and neck race spurs market jittersOutcome still hinges on battleground statesTrump narrows the gapThe time for Americans to vote for a new president is drawing ever closer, but who will win on November 5 is looking a lot less certain now than it did when Vice President Kamala Harris entered the race.
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Volatility remains elevated in FX space and commodities – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility reaches new 30-day highVolatility in both gold and silver jumpsStock indices continue to experience average volatilityEuro/dollar volatility has climbed to the highest level of the past month, as the ECB delivered its much-expected rate cut and the discussion about the November Fed meeting is underway. But more importantly, the market is preparing for the November 5 US presidential election.
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Daily Comment – Gold and dollar edge up as markets bet on Trump win

US election risks move to the forefront as Trump narrows gap with HarrisGold begins week with new record as geopolitical tensions add to demandStocks mixed ahead of key earningsTrump trade makes a returnGold extended its record streak at the start of the new trading week as investors increasingly bet on Donald Trump winning the US presidential election on November 5. The precious metal climbed to all-time highs above $2,730/oz amid the growing risk of Trump returning to the White House.
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Daily Comment – US dollar could benefit from an unexciting ECB meeting

ECB meets but unlikely to reverse euro’s recent trendBoth the dollar and US stocks are in a good moodNetflix reports today after TSMC's massive profit jumpGold and bitcoin in demand, oil craves a bullish catalystEuro's suffering continues as ECB meetsThe euro remains on the back foot as it continues to underperform the dollar. The pair has dropped to the lowest level since August 2 with October shaping up to be the weakest month for euro/dollar since May 2023. This dollar outperformanc
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Cryptos rally but outlook remains clouded – Crypto News

Cryptos trade higher, driven by US equitiesSpot ETFs inflow confirm investors’ strong appetiteUS pre-election rhetoric supports cryptosBitcoin breaks above its recent trading range Cryptocurrencies are in demand again The cryptocurrency market is enjoying a rather strong week with bitcoin climbing to the highest level since late July and trading around 35% higher from the August 5 trough. The current move comes amidst a mixed environment with the markets experiencing a strong dollar, which
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Volatility eases slightly as the risk on sentiment lingers – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility is very close to the last 30 days’ highVolatility in commodities remains elevatedStock indices experience above average volatility Euro/dollar volatility remains very high, close to the highest level of the past month, as the US dollar continues to rally following a series of strong US data and some hawkish Fedspeak. Interestingly, the volatility of yen crosses has crashed across the board, with the yen surrendering another good part of its recent sizeable gains on th
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Daily Comment – US dollar and stock rally continues

Euphoria in US assets, stock indices reach new highsToday's Fed speakers could threaten Monday’s gainsOil and gold in the red, bitcoin enjoys a strong boostPound ignores jobs data, awaits Wednesday’s CPIUS stocks and dollar in the greenBoth the US dollar and main US equity indices enjoyed another strong session yesterday. Euro/dollar traded at a 45-day low, and both the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones indices recorded new all-time highs despite the Columbus Day bank holiday keeping both th
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Bitcoin in tepid rebound as geopolitical woes ease – Crypto News

Inflows lift Bitcoin on Monday, but rebound faltersImproved sentiment holds price action above 50-day MABut geopolitical and election risks keep bulls in checkA short-lived bounce?Digital assets took a significant hit last week from the geopolitical turmoil, as Iran’s missile attack on Israel drove investors to safe-haven assets such as gold, leading to the first outflow in three weeks.
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Volatility skyrockets across the board after an eventful week – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility surges to the highest level of the monthVolatility in commodities reaches new monthly highStock indices experience very high volatilityEuro/dollar volatility has reached the highest level of the past 30 days, as the FX market was rocked by the strong US labour market report, denting the possibility of another 50bps Fed rate cut in November.
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Daily Comment – Will the dollar or stocks smile after the non-farm payrolls print?

Spotlight falls on the key US labour market dataNon-farm payrolls to rise by 140k, but could surprise to the upsideDollar to enjoy a strong set of data, equities prefer weaker printsEuro suffering continues, while both gold and oil advanceCould the US labour market data produce a surprise?The countdown to the most crucial set of US data during October is nearly over.
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Technical Analysis – Bitcoin in a slippery mode within SMAs

Bitcoin battles with 60,200 areaRSI implies further decreasesBitcoin prices have been falling since they peaked at 66,450 and have been hovering within the 50- and 100-day simple moving averages (SMAs) over the last couple of days. If the market continues to dive, then immediate support could come from the 57,600 support level ahead of the 52,470 barrier, registered on September 7.On the other hand, if the market successfully climbs above the 100-day SMA, it may re-challenge the 200-day SMA, wh
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Volatility jumps as market prepares for an action-packed week – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility surges as dollar remains on the back footVolatility in commodities reaches new monthly high, led by oilStock indices experience strong volatility amidst a tentative rallyEuro/dollar volatility has jumped over the past week, as the FX market is whipsawed by the possibility of another strong Fed rate cut. Similarly, volatility of most yen crosses has risen aggressively, with the yen surrendering part of its recent sizeable gains on the back of weaker data and a general el
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Bitcoin’s Fed rally slows down, stalls below $64,700 – Crypto News

Bitcoin rallies on speculation of another 50bps cut by the Fed But slows down after policymakers favor a smaller reductionHarris leading the US election polls is also reason for caution Focus remains on US data, PCE inflation on FridayFed rally loses steam ahead of PCE dataBitcoin rallied nearly 5% on Thursday, the day after the Fed decided to cut interest rates by 50bps and to signal that another 50 are on the cards for the remainder of 2024. At the press conference following the decision, Fed
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Volatility drops across the board after the Fed meeting – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility remains low as dollar underperforms Volatility in commodities stays elevated, led by gold Stock indices experience decent volatility despite the rally Euro/dollar volatility has eased a bit over the past week, as the market digested the strong Fed rate cut. Similarly, volatility of most yen crosses has dropped aggressively lower, as the yen surrendered part of its recent sizeable gains, despite the fact that the BoJ maintained the chances of another rate
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How will the US elections impact the markets?

Harris takes the lead in most polls as Trump’s campaign stalls But what does a Harris win mean for stocks and the US dollar? Can Trump turn things around and what would investors prefer? Late entry The US presidential election is drawing ever closer and there can be no doubt that the race heated up after President Joe Biden abruptly dropped out.
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