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EURUSD

Nghiên cứu XM

Nghiên cứu XM - 7 giờ trước

Week Ahead – US election draws all eyes, Fed, RBA and BoE meet

Traders lock gaze on Tuesday’s US electionTrump and Harris battle neck and neck in final stretchFed to decide whether to cut interest ratesRBA and BoE decisions are also on next week’s agendaThe US dollar flexed its muscles lately on the back of upbeat data suggesting that there is no need for the Fed to deliver another bold 50bps rate cut at the remaining gatherings of the year, but also due to increasing market bets that Donald Trump will return to the White House.It’s US election time!T
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Nghiên cứu XM - 9 giờ trước

Daily Comment – Volatility returns with a vengeance ahead of key US events

Month-end pushes stock indices and gold in the redMarket angst could continue going into Tuesday’s US electionFocus today is on the US labour market dataDollar fails to benefit against the euro and the yenMonth-end pushes stock indices in the redThe recent, relatively quiet, market sessions were interrupted yesterday, with a strong correction recorded in both equities and gold.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 ngày trước

Quick Brief – PCE inflation adds to strong US data run ahead of Fed decision

Core PCE price index stays unchanged at 2.7% y/yPersonal consumption accelerates to 0.5% m/mBut US dollar stays on the backfoot Inflation as measured by the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index fell to 2.1% y/y in September, but the underlying measure was unchanged at 2.7% y/y. The decline in the headline figure was in line with expectations but core PCE was forecast to have moderated to 2.6% y/y.The data underscores worries that underlying price pressures are proving to be stick
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 ngày trước

Daily Comment – Dollar slips amid stronger yen and euro, data barrage continues

Yen up after Bank of Japan sounds more hawkish than expectedEuro climbs on stronger German GDP and inflationDollar choppy after mixed US data, focus turns to PCE inflationStocks struggle on earnings outlook worriesYen gets unexpected boostThe yen firmed up on Thursday after the Bank of Japan struck a somewhat more hawkish-than-expected tone as it kept rates on hold but signalled it remains on track to raise rates further.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 2 ngày trước

Quick Brief - US Q3 GDP disappoints but ADP employment beat lifts dollar

US economy grows by 2.8% in Q3 versus 3.0% expectedADP employment points to strong month for jobs in OctoberUS dollar heads north but more tests on the wayThe US GDP report kicked off the run of crucial data for the next three days, paving the way for next week’s policy meeting by the Federal Reserve. GDP growth came in slightly below expectations in the third quarter, printing at 2.8% against forecasts of 3.0%.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 2 ngày trướcNeutral

Technical Analysis – EURUSD posts bullish spike near 200-day SMA

EURUSD erases today’s gainsStochastics and MACD still suggest upside momentumEURUSD has continued to develop between the medium- and long-term ascending trend lines, despite the bullish spike towards the 1.0860 level earlier in the day. The 1.0775 support looks to be a tough obstacle for the bears, and only a closing session beneath it would sw
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Nghiên cứu XM - 2 ngày trước

Quick Brief – Eurozone GDP exceeds expectations

Eurozone GDP expands by 0.4%Germany posts 0.2% growthEuro/dollar shows signs of upside recoveryThe Eurozone economy expanded more rapidly than anticipated in the previous quarter; however, the outlook remains subdued due to the potential for excessive tariffs from a Trump presidency and the escalation of trade tensions with China.The Eurozone GDP grew by 0.4% in Q3, marking the highest growth rate in two years, subsequent to a 0.2% increase in Q2 and surpassing projections of 0.2%.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 2 ngày trước

Daily Comment – Wall Street lifted by earnings as election jitters boost gold

US dollar and gold remain elevated as markets bet on Trump winBut Nasdaq hits record amid optimism about tech earningsSlew of data awaited out of the US and Eurozone, UK budget also eyedUS election angst still driving sentiment  Growing anxiety about the US presidential election continued to set the market mood on Wednesday, with Republican candidate Donald Trump extending his gains in the polls.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 3 ngày trước

Volatility jumps as markets prepare for action-packed period – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility climbs to a new monthly highVolatility remains very elevated in both gold and silverStock indices continue to experience average volatility Euro/dollar volatility continues to increase, achieving a new 30-day high, as the markets are preparing for Friday’s jobs report, and next week’s US presidential election and the Fed meeting.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 3 ngày trước

Weekly Technical Outlook – EURUSD, USDJPY, EURGBP

NFP report may shake the markets as EURUSD battles with 1.0800BoJ interest rate may remain steady; USDJPY rises to 3-month highEurozone flash CPI may fail to help EURGBP to recoverUS NFP report --> EURUSDThis week’s US data will provide an update on the US economy and inflation ahead of the Fed's November policy decision.The October nonfarm payrolls report will be the highlight of the week.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 3 ngày trước

Daily Comment – Dollar maintains gains amidst fragile market conditions

Markets prepare for a 10-day long rollercoaster rideFocus today on earnings but key US data in sightGold and bitcoin rally, oil suffers, and 10-year US yield reaches 4.3%Yen suffering might linger as party negotiations continueImportant data week, Alphabet reports todayMarket participants are gradually preparing for an action-packed week, with Friday’s US jobs report being the key event, that also includes some major earnings releases.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 4 ngày trước

Daily Comment – Oil slumps after Israel’s attack; yen slips on Japan election shock

Oil and gold slide as Israel shows restraint in retaliatory strike on IranYen under pressure after LDP party loses majority in snap electionTrump poll boost keeps dollar firm as crucial US data week awaitsIsrael strikes back at Iran, but relief on measured attackOil prices tumbled as trading got underway on Monday, opening with a gap down as investors responded to Israel’s retaliatory attack against Iran on Saturday.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 4 ngày trướcNeutral

Technical Analysis – EURUSD halts decline but downside risks persist

EURUSD turns flat around 1.0790But momentum indicators stuck deep in bearish territoryEURUSD has steadied around 1.0790 after its rebound from the 16-week low of 1.0760 faltered. However, whilst there is slight positive energy on Monday, with the price inching higher, the momentum indicators are overwhelmingly within the bearish zone. Nevertheless, the selling pressure appears to be easing and a bullish reversal is possible in the near term as the RSI has flatlined just above the oversold level
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 tuần trước

Week Ahead – A decisive week for USD with NFP and more; BoJ meets

A crucial week lies ahead with US jobs report, advance GDP and PCE inflationThe Bank of Japan is expected to hold rates, but will it flag a year-end hike?Flash GDP and CPI data for the euro area are also hotly anticipatedAustralian quarterly CPI and UK budget on the agenda tooAll eyes on US data as Fed turns hawkish againThe Federal Reserve’s surprise decision in September to cut rates by a larger-than-expected 50-basis-points seems like a distant memory now, as policymakers are once again sen
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 tuần trước

Daily Comment – Tensions remain high in equities

Strong US data is not welcomed by equitiesBusy calendar today but markets are already focusing on next weekJapan holds election on Sunday; the outcome could surpriseBoJ and yen could suffer from a hung parliament Data reconfirm the strength of the US economyYesterday’s PMI surveys release was a stark reminder that the US presidential election is not the sole market-moving factor.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 tuần trước

Daily Comment – Stocks under pressure amid US election jitters, dollar extends gains

Reduced Fed rate cut bets and growing odds of a Trump win push up yieldsWall Street slips; gold also takes a hit, but only temporarilyDollar climbs to 3-month high, yen and euro struggleWall Street headed for weekly lossesThe rally on Wall Street came to an abrupt end this week as uncertainty about the looming US presidential election as well as about the pace of Fed rate cuts undermined confidence in risk assets.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 tuần trướcNeutral

Daily Comment – Dollar, gold and US yields continue to rise

Euro is under pressure again as ECB dovish commentary lingersGold makes a new all-time high despite the 10-year US yield riseUS equities trade with low conviction ahead of Tesla earningsBoC to announce another rate cut, loonie could sufferEuro remains on the back footThe euro is desperately trying to show some signs of life and recover against both the US dollar and the pound.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 tuần trướcBearish

Technical Analysis – EURUSD unlocks 1.0800 critical level

EURUSD dived beneath medium-term uptrend lineRemains well below 200-day SMAMomentum oscillators extend bearish biasEURUSD tumbled beneath the medium-term ascending trend line, meeting a fresh almost three-month low below the 1.0800 round number. The pair lost 3.8% from the pullback at the 1.1215 resistance level, with the technical oscillators extending their negative momentum.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 tuần trướcNeutral

Volatility remains elevated in FX space and commodities – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility reaches new 30-day highVolatility in both gold and silver jumpsStock indices continue to experience average volatilityEuro/dollar volatility has climbed to the highest level of the past month, as the ECB delivered its much-expected rate cut and the discussion about the November Fed meeting is underway. But more importantly, the market is preparing for the November 5 US presidential election.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 tuần trướcNeutral

Daily Comment – Demand for safe assets lingers

Dollar, gold and US yields are on the riseUS presidential election risks start to affect market sentimentFocus today on central bank speakers at the IMF annual meetingBRICS summit could generate headlines, particularly for the Middle EastUS presidential election is firmly on the market's radarThe US dollar continues to enjoy strong demand, outperforming its main counterparts.
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