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GBPUSD


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Technical Analysis – GBPUSD turns up after 2½-month low

GBPUSD meets uptrend lineStochastics and RSI are mixedGBPUSD is reversing yesterday's losses, which marked a new two-and-a-half month low of 1.2840. The pair is battling with the medium-term ascending trend line again, raising chances for a bullish correction of the 1.3433–1.2840 bearish wave.The technical oscillators show some mixed signs.
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Week Ahead – US election draws all eyes, Fed, RBA and BoE meet

Traders lock gaze on Tuesday’s US electionTrump and Harris battle neck and neck in final stretchFed to decide whether to cut interest ratesRBA and BoE decisions are also on next week’s agendaThe US dollar flexed its muscles lately on the back of upbeat data suggesting that there is no need for the Fed to deliver another bold 50bps rate cut at the remaining gatherings of the year, but also due to increasing market bets that Donald Trump will return to the White House.It’s US election time!T
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Daily Comment – Dollar slips amid stronger yen and euro, data barrage continues

Yen up after Bank of Japan sounds more hawkish than expectedEuro climbs on stronger German GDP and inflationDollar choppy after mixed US data, focus turns to PCE inflationStocks struggle on earnings outlook worriesYen gets unexpected boostThe yen firmed up on Thursday after the Bank of Japan struck a somewhat more hawkish-than-expected tone as it kept rates on hold but signalled it remains on track to raise rates further.
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Daily Comment – Wall Street lifted by earnings as election jitters boost gold

US dollar and gold remain elevated as markets bet on Trump winBut Nasdaq hits record amid optimism about tech earningsSlew of data awaited out of the US and Eurozone, UK budget also eyedUS election angst still driving sentiment  Growing anxiety about the US presidential election continued to set the market mood on Wednesday, with Republican candidate Donald Trump extending his gains in the polls.
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Volatility jumps as markets prepare for action-packed period – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility climbs to a new monthly highVolatility remains very elevated in both gold and silverStock indices continue to experience average volatility Euro/dollar volatility continues to increase, achieving a new 30-day high, as the markets are preparing for Friday’s jobs report, and next week’s US presidential election and the Fed meeting.
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Technical Analysis – GBPUSD moves horizontally within 1.2900 – 1.3000

GBPUSD loses momentum near uptrend lineStochastic ticks higher, but RSI flattensGBPUSD headed south in the preceding week, breaking the long-term ascending trendline to the downside. However, the pair is currently holding within a tight range after failing to extend the bearish tendency, but there is strong resistance at the 1.3000 round num
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Week Ahead – A decisive week for USD with NFP and more; BoJ meets

A crucial week lies ahead with US jobs report, advance GDP and PCE inflationThe Bank of Japan is expected to hold rates, but will it flag a year-end hike?Flash GDP and CPI data for the euro area are also hotly anticipatedAustralian quarterly CPI and UK budget on the agenda tooAll eyes on US data as Fed turns hawkish againThe Federal Reserve’s surprise decision in September to cut rates by a larger-than-expected 50-basis-points seems like a distant memory now, as policymakers are once again sen
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Technical Analysis – GBPUSD rises after hitting 1.2900

GBPUSD returns above uptrend lineStochastics and RSI show positive signsGBPUSD headed south on Wednesday’s session, meeting the 1.2900 round number, but today is recouping its losses and is testing again the 1.2970 level. The bearish wave may come to an end, especially if the market successfully climbs above the bearish cross within the 20- and 50-day simple moving averages (SMA) of 1.3100–1.3130.On the other hand, a downward move could find the next support at the 200-day SMA at 1.2800 bef
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Daily Comment – Stocks under pressure amid US election jitters, dollar extends gains

Reduced Fed rate cut bets and growing odds of a Trump win push up yieldsWall Street slips; gold also takes a hit, but only temporarilyDollar climbs to 3-month high, yen and euro struggleWall Street headed for weekly lossesThe rally on Wall Street came to an abrupt end this week as uncertainty about the looming US presidential election as well as about the pace of Fed rate cuts undermined confidence in risk assets.
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Technical Analysis – GBPUSD: One more burst of strength?

GBPUSD prints new lower low, reaches long-term support trendlineTechnical signals remain discouraging; more sellers wait below 1.2950 GBPUSD is currently in its fourth consecutive week of losses, gradually slipping below the 1.3000 mark for the first time since August. The pair recently hit a new lower low of 1.2943, with technical indicators reflecting persisting selling appetite.
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Volatility remains elevated in FX space and commodities – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility reaches new 30-day highVolatility in both gold and silver jumpsStock indices continue to experience average volatilityEuro/dollar volatility has climbed to the highest level of the past month, as the ECB delivered its much-expected rate cut and the discussion about the November Fed meeting is underway. But more importantly, the market is preparing for the November 5 US presidential election.
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Weekly Technical Outlook – USDCAD, EURUSD, GBPUSD

USDCAD rally may have more room to go as BoC rate decision awaitedEURUSD looks fragile following ECB’s meeting; flash PMIs next in focusGBPUSD is not out of the woods; flash PMIs could provide fresh direction BoC rate decision --> USDCAD  USDCAD is back in the 1.3800 territory and a short distance below October’s high of 1.3837 as investors expect the Bank of Canada (BoC) to slash interest rates by 50bps 3.75% on Wednesday.
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Daily Comment – Gold and dollar edge up as markets bet on Trump win

US election risks move to the forefront as Trump narrows gap with HarrisGold begins week with new record as geopolitical tensions add to demandStocks mixed ahead of key earningsTrump trade makes a returnGold extended its record streak at the start of the new trading week as investors increasingly bet on Donald Trump winning the US presidential election on November 5. The precious metal climbed to all-time highs above $2,730/oz amid the growing risk of Trump returning to the White House.
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Week Ahead – BoC to speed up rate cuts; flash PMIs eyed for growth clues

Bank of Canada meets; may opt for bigger 50-bps cutOctober flash PMIs to set the mood amid some growth concernsA relatively quiet week otherwise, with mostly second-tier releasesBoC to likely cut by half a pointExpectations that the Bank of Canada will cut rates by 50 basis points at its October meeting firmed up after the latest CPI data. Nevertheless, markets are not fully convinced of an outsized move, hence, there is a little bit of uncertainty heading into Wednesday’s decision by Canada��
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Daily Comment – Strong US data keep the dollar in demand

 ECB cuts rate, keeps door wide open to a December moveEuro suffers as US retail sales surprise on the upsideFocus today is on Fedspeak and in particular Fed’s BosticGold surpasses $2,700 as China announces further measuresECB announces rate cut, prepares for a December moveThe euro suffered another weak session yesterday, with the euro/dollar pair dropping below the key 200-day simple moving average and euro/pound fully erasing the recent UK CPI-induced correction.
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Technical Analysis – GBPUSD retests 1.3000 key level

GBPUSD remains in ascending channelStochastic and RSI in neutral-to-negative momentumGBPUSD has been in a bearish corrective mode during the last three weeks, diving beneath the 20- and 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs).Entering the 1.3000 area has been a struggle over the past five days, and there might be another tough obstacle near the medium-term uptrend line at 1.2950 with the technical indicators showing some neutral-to-bearish signs.
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Daily Comment – Stocks under pressure by chipmakers, pound slips on CPI drop

Chip stocks hit by selloff after ASML cuts 2025 guidanceDollar stretches gains as pound and kiwi fall on lower inflationOil steadier amid ongoing ME drama, gold heads towards fresh recordChip and AI stocks take a diveEquity markets suffered a setback on Tuesday after Dutch semiconductor giant, ASML, sparked panic about the demand outlook for chips when it accidentally published its earnings report a day early.
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Volatility eases slightly as the risk on sentiment lingers – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility is very close to the last 30 days’ highVolatility in commodities remains elevatedStock indices experience above average volatility Euro/dollar volatility remains very high, close to the highest level of the past month, as the US dollar continues to rally following a series of strong US data and some hawkish Fedspeak. Interestingly, the volatility of yen crosses has crashed across the board, with the yen surrendering another good part of its recent sizeable gains on th
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Daily Comment – US dollar and stock rally continues

Euphoria in US assets, stock indices reach new highsToday's Fed speakers could threaten Monday’s gainsOil and gold in the red, bitcoin enjoys a strong boostPound ignores jobs data, awaits Wednesday’s CPIUS stocks and dollar in the greenBoth the US dollar and main US equity indices enjoyed another strong session yesterday. Euro/dollar traded at a 45-day low, and both the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones indices recorded new all-time highs despite the Columbus Day bank holiday keeping both th
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Technical Analysis – GBPUSD holds near September’s support zone after mixed jobs data

GBPUSD stays directionless near September’s baseTechnical signals cannot warrant an upside reversalGBPUSD faced mild selling pressure but held its footing above September’s floor of 1.3000-1.3040 after the UK employment survey showed better-than-expected jobs data in August and an increase in the number of unemployed people in September.The bears may have luck on their side as the technical indicators are not confirming oversold conditions yet.
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