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Tech rally turns to selloff ahead of NFP and US election - Stock Markets

S&P 500 headed for second weekly dip as gains turn to lossesNasdaq pulls back from record highs as AI jitters returnApple earnings add to outlook worries but Amazon impressesTech rally stumblesIt’s been a turbulent week for Wall Street as, despite a positive start, renewed concerns about excessive spending on artificial intelligence (AI) dragged Big Tech stocks lower mid-week.
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Daily Comment – Dollar slips amid stronger yen and euro, data barrage continues

Yen up after Bank of Japan sounds more hawkish than expectedEuro climbs on stronger German GDP and inflationDollar choppy after mixed US data, focus turns to PCE inflationStocks struggle on earnings outlook worriesYen gets unexpected boostThe yen firmed up on Thursday after the Bank of Japan struck a somewhat more hawkish-than-expected tone as it kept rates on hold but signalled it remains on track to raise rates further.
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Daily Comment – Wall Street lifted by earnings as election jitters boost gold

US dollar and gold remain elevated as markets bet on Trump winBut Nasdaq hits record amid optimism about tech earningsSlew of data awaited out of the US and Eurozone, UK budget also eyedUS election angst still driving sentiment  Growing anxiety about the US presidential election continued to set the market mood on Wednesday, with Republican candidate Donald Trump extending his gains in the polls.
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Daily Comment – Dollar maintains gains amidst fragile market conditions

Markets prepare for a 10-day long rollercoaster rideFocus today on earnings but key US data in sightGold and bitcoin rally, oil suffers, and 10-year US yield reaches 4.3%Yen suffering might linger as party negotiations continueImportant data week, Alphabet reports todayMarket participants are gradually preparing for an action-packed week, with Friday’s US jobs report being the key event, that also includes some major earnings releases.
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Stocks at a precarious position ahead of key US data – Stock Markets

Equity indices enjoyed a decent third quarter, led by Chinese stocksS&P 500 completed five consecutive positive monthsQ3 earnings announcements to gradually take centre stageUS equity indices look vulnerable at this stage Stocks fared decently in Q3, outlook is challenging The third quarter (Q3) of 2024 was a plentiful one, with the key central banks finally embarking on their monetary policy easing journey.
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S&P 500 hits another record on Fed put but tech stocks look shaky – Stock Markets

S&P 500 and Dow Jones close at new peaks but Nasdaq stuttersFed rate cut boosts risk appetite, China stimulus further lifts sentimentBut tech stocks are mixed as AI rally cools, earnings doubts creep inThe bulls return from summer hiatusAfter a prolonged period of unusual calm in the markets, volatility was back with a vengeance during the summer and autumn got off to an equally bumpy start.
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Market Comment – Markets in waiting mode ahead of earnings releases and risk events

Key earnings releases and numerous central bank meetings coming up US stocks in waiting mode, dollar recovering across the board Key euro area data today but all eyes are on Wednesday's BoJ meeting Gold, oil and bitcoin move in parallel Stocks are mixed ahead of this week’s key events US stock indices were mixed yesterday as the market is preparing for this week’s big events.
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Market Comment – Technical outage triggers risk aversion, Biden steps down

Markets in risk-off mode after outage Biden withdraws from Presidential race Gold and oil feel the heat of strong dollar Dollar rallies on haven flows The US dollar traded higher against most of its major peers on Friday, although its advance was paused today. With Fed fund futures indicating very little change in market expectations about the Fed’s future course of action, the dollar’s rally seems to have not been driven by developments linked to the Fed’s plans.
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Week Ahead – Flash PMIs, US GDP and BoC decision on tap

US data awaited amid overly dovish Fed rate cut bets July PMIs to reveal how economies entered H2 BoC decides on monetary policy, may cut rates again Will investors add to their Fed rate cut bets? With investors ramping up their Fed rate cut bets, the US dollar suffered during the first half of the week, although it recovered some ground on Thursday.
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Microsoft earnings eyed as AI race gathers speed – Stock Markets

Microsoft to announce its Q4 earnings on July 30 after the market close Has the AI boom run its course or is this revenue surge sustainable? Cloud growth and AI spending will be under scrutiny amid high valuation Monetizing AI Microsoft Corp continues to ride high on the artificial intelligence (AI) wave, having been among the first to bet big on the AI revolution.
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Market Comment – Yen tumbles to fresh lows, dollar awaits GDP

Yen falls to new 34-year low ahead of BoJ decision Dollar traders await GDP and PCE data Wall Street mixed, gold stays on the back foot Will Ueda appear in a hawkish suit this time? The yen extended its tumble to a fresh 34-year low, falling below 155.00 per dollar. With less than 24 hours to go for the Bank of Japan’s decision, investors are likely sitting on the edge of their seats in anticipation of the gathering’s outcome.
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Microsoft reports earnings as AI wars intensify – Stock markets

Microsoft will report earnings on Thursday, April 25 after the bell Analysts expect solid growth, driven by artificial intelligence But share valuation is already stretched, so upside may be limited Leading the AI arms race Microsoft has been at the forefront of the ‘artificial intelligence wars’ over the past year, following its acquisition of OpenAI and several other startups.
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Are there more AI growth opportunities to be priced into the markets?

Nvidia skyrockets and drives the S&P 500 to new records Demand for chips continues to surge, AI enters consumers’ life There maybe more AI growth opportunities to be priced in But downside risks on high valuations and geopolitics do exist Nvidia beats already optimistic estimates Just last week, the investor favorite Nvidia beat out Amazon and Alphabet to take the third place as the most valuable company in the US by market capitalization, and although the chipmaker’s
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Magnificent 7 earnings assert dominance, focus shifts to Nvidia – Stock Markets

Magnificent 7 earnings endorse their relentless rally Tesla lags, while Apple shows some signs of weakness Valuations are stretched despite rosy projections   In their own world The so-called Magnificent Seven group comprised of Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Nvidia, Meta Platforms and Tesla has gone parabolic since early 2023, outperforming the broader US stock market by a wide margin.
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Is the 5,000 milestone in sight for the S&P 500? – Stock Markets

Mega-cap stocks drive S&P 500 towards 5,000 milestone AI and tech dominate the bull charge to unchartered territory But how sustainable is the uptrend? A wobbly start to 2024 It wasn’t the best start for Wall Street in 2024 as the major indices stumbled during the first week of the new year. However, it didn’t take long for Fed rate cut expectations to take off again and revive risk appetite.
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Market Comment – Investors lock gaze on Fed decision

Fed to stand pat, focus to turn on rate path signals Aussie falls after Australian CPI slows by more than expected Euro slides ahead of preliminary CPI data from Germany Wall Street trades mixed ahead of Fed decision Will the Fed pour cold water on March rate cut bets? The US dollar traded mixed against the other major currencies on Tuesday, but it is gaining ground today.
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Technical Analysis – Microsoft eases slightly from record peak

Microsoft remains above uptrend line But momentum indicators are turning lower Microsoft has its earnings release on Tuesday 30 and its stock price is currently trading slightly below the record peak of 406.70 that it reached on Thursday. The price has been developing within an ascending movement since the end of September 2023. However, the technical oscillators are indicating a potential downside retracement in the daily timeframe. The RSI is pointing down above the 70 level, w
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Market Comment – Stocks, dollar steady after goldilocks data as Fed awaited

Stocks perky ahead of Fed decision as US data and China measures lift optimism Dollar and yields little changed after goldilocks reports, NFP eyed next Oil and gold spike on geopolitical concerns amid fresh ME tensions Markets await direction from the Fed Stocks were mixed on Monday amid a cautiously risk-on tone ahead of a very busy week for the markets that’s expected to get heated up mid-week by the Fed’s policy decision, culminating with the latest payrolls report on Fri
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Microsoft to unveil earnings as AI-powered boom persists – Stock Markets

Microsoft will release quarterly earnings on Tuesday, January 30, after closing bell A strong quarter is expected, driven by artificial intelligence operations Shares are expensive from a valuation perspective, reflecting future growth     Microsoft takes the crown With its share price rocketing higher in recent months, Microsoft has become the world’s most valuable company by market capitalization, taking the crown away from Apple.
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Technical Analysis – Microsoft stock posts fresh all-time high

Microsoft storms to a new all-time high on Monday Momentum indicators are within their overbought zones Suggesting elevated possibility of a correction Microsoft’s shares have been in a steady advance since their September bottom of 309.35, generating a series of new record highs in the last few sessions. Given that the short-term oscillators are hinting at overbought conditions, traders should be aware of the increasing risks of a pullback.
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