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US30Cash

Nghiên cứu XM

Nghiên cứu XM - 9 giờ trước

Daily Comment – Volatility returns with a vengeance ahead of key US events

Month-end pushes stock indices and gold in the redMarket angst could continue going into Tuesday’s US electionFocus today is on the US labour market dataDollar fails to benefit against the euro and the yenMonth-end pushes stock indices in the redThe recent, relatively quiet, market sessions were interrupted yesterday, with a strong correction recorded in both equities and gold.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 3 ngày trước

Volatility jumps as markets prepare for action-packed period – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility climbs to a new monthly highVolatility remains very elevated in both gold and silverStock indices continue to experience average volatility Euro/dollar volatility continues to increase, achieving a new 30-day high, as the markets are preparing for Friday’s jobs report, and next week’s US presidential election and the Fed meeting.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 tuần trước

Daily Comment – Tensions remain high in equities

Strong US data is not welcomed by equitiesBusy calendar today but markets are already focusing on next weekJapan holds election on Sunday; the outcome could surpriseBoJ and yen could suffer from a hung parliament Data reconfirm the strength of the US economyYesterday’s PMI surveys release was a stark reminder that the US presidential election is not the sole market-moving factor.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 tuần trướcNeutral

Volatility remains elevated in FX space and commodities – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility reaches new 30-day highVolatility in both gold and silver jumpsStock indices continue to experience average volatilityEuro/dollar volatility has climbed to the highest level of the past month, as the ECB delivered its much-expected rate cut and the discussion about the November Fed meeting is underway. But more importantly, the market is preparing for the November 5 US presidential election.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 tuần trướcNeutral

Daily Comment – Demand for safe assets lingers

Dollar, gold and US yields are on the riseUS presidential election risks start to affect market sentimentFocus today on central bank speakers at the IMF annual meetingBRICS summit could generate headlines, particularly for the Middle EastUS presidential election is firmly on the market's radarThe US dollar continues to enjoy strong demand, outperforming its main counterparts.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 2 tuần trướcNeutral

Volatility eases slightly as the risk on sentiment lingers – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility is very close to the last 30 days’ highVolatility in commodities remains elevatedStock indices experience above average volatility Euro/dollar volatility remains very high, close to the highest level of the past month, as the US dollar continues to rally following a series of strong US data and some hawkish Fedspeak. Interestingly, the volatility of yen crosses has crashed across the board, with the yen surrendering another good part of its recent sizeable gains on th
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Nghiên cứu XM - 2 tuần trướcNeutral

Daily Comment – US dollar and stock rally continues

Euphoria in US assets, stock indices reach new highsToday's Fed speakers could threaten Monday’s gainsOil and gold in the red, bitcoin enjoys a strong boostPound ignores jobs data, awaits Wednesday’s CPIUS stocks and dollar in the greenBoth the US dollar and main US equity indices enjoyed another strong session yesterday. Euro/dollar traded at a 45-day low, and both the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones indices recorded new all-time highs despite the Columbus Day bank holiday keeping both th
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Nghiên cứu XM - 3 tuần trướcBullish

Technical Analysis – US 30 index celebrates another record high

US 30 index strengthens uptrend to all-time high of 42,904Short-term bias is positive, but the way up may not be straightThe US 30 index (cash) hit an all-time high of 42,904 in less than a month on Friday and closed above the constraining line at 42,550, raising confidence that its record rally has more room to go.Having bounced off its 20-day simple moving average (SMA), the bulls may face immediate resistance within the 43,155-43,500 constraining region given the overbought signals comin
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Nghiên cứu XM - 3 tuần trướcNeutral

Volatility skyrockets across the board after an eventful week – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility surges to the highest level of the monthVolatility in commodities reaches new monthly highStock indices experience very high volatilityEuro/dollar volatility has reached the highest level of the past 30 days, as the FX market was rocked by the strong US labour market report, denting the possibility of another 50bps Fed rate cut in November.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 4 tuần trướcNeutral

Volatility jumps as market prepares for an action-packed week – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility surges as dollar remains on the back footVolatility in commodities reaches new monthly high, led by oilStock indices experience strong volatility amidst a tentative rallyEuro/dollar volatility has jumped over the past week, as the FX market is whipsawed by the possibility of another strong Fed rate cut. Similarly, volatility of most yen crosses has risen aggressively, with the yen surrendering part of its recent sizeable gains on the back of weaker data and a general el
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 tháng trướcNeutral

Daily Comment – PCE inflation corroborates dovish Fed bets

Softer PCE data keep chances of another 50bps Fed cut elevatedFed Chair Powell speaks, ISM PMIs and NFP on this week’s agendaYen rally pauses after Ishiba says policy should stay accommodativeAussie, kiwi and Chinese stocks celebrate PBoC’s measuresMarket assigns decent chance for back-to-back 50bps Fed cutThe dollar slipped against most of its major peers after Friday’s data revealed that the headline PCE price index slowed more than expected in August, although the more important core PC
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 tháng trướcNeutral

S&P 500 hits another record on Fed put but tech stocks look shaky – Stock Markets

S&P 500 and Dow Jones close at new peaks but Nasdaq stuttersFed rate cut boosts risk appetite, China stimulus further lifts sentimentBut tech stocks are mixed as AI rally cools, earnings doubts creep inThe bulls return from summer hiatusAfter a prolonged period of unusual calm in the markets, volatility was back with a vengeance during the summer and autumn got off to an equally bumpy start.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 tháng trước

Volatility drops across the board after the Fed meeting – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility remains low as dollar underperforms Volatility in commodities stays elevated, led by gold Stock indices experience decent volatility despite the rally Euro/dollar volatility has eased a bit over the past week, as the market digested the strong Fed rate cut. Similarly, volatility of most yen crosses has dropped aggressively lower, as the yen surrendered part of its recent sizeable gains, despite the fact that the BoJ maintained the chances of another rate
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Nghiên cứu XM - 2 tháng trước

Volatility eases a bit ahead of the key Fed meeting – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility remains low as dollar weakness lingers Volatility in commodities stays elevated led by silver Stock indices and bitcoin experience lower volatility Euro/dollar volatility remains low as the market is preparing for the key Fed meeting on Wednesday that could deliver a previously unexpected 50bps rate cut. Amidst these conditions, yen pairs are experiencing the highest volatility of the past month as the yen continues to outperform its main counterparties on
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Nghiên cứu XM - 2 tháng trước

Daily Comment – Stocks extend gains as a 50bps Fed cut becomes more likely

Stocks in the green as a 50bps Fed rate cut is expected US retail sales today could prolong dollar’s weakness Loonie could suffer from another weak CPI report Gold remains bid as US yields continue to drop 50bps Fed rate cut is now the main scenario Markets continue to dance to the tune of Wednesday’s Fed meeting. Chances of a 50bps rate cut got a strong boost yesterday with the market currently pricing in a 67% probability that history will repeat itself and the Fed wi
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Nghiên cứu XM - 2 tháng trước

Daily Comment – Equities are directionless ahead of US inflation report

Mixed movements in equities as markets prepare for CPI Strong possibility for a downside surprise in inflation  US presidential debate dominates headlines Bitcoin suffers while gold and yen rally Stocks are in anticipation mode US equity indices were mixed yesterday with the Nasdaq 100 index recording another green day and the Dow Jones mimicking the European stock indices’ negative performance.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 2 tháng trước

Equities volatility jumps as sentiment turns negative – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility remains low as market digests US data prints Volatility in commodities remains low apart from oil Stock indices and bitcoin experience much higher volatility Volatility in the main FX pairs, including euro/dollar, has eased in the past few days as the market is digesting last week’s US labour market data and preparing for Wednesday’s CPI report, which could play a role in determining the size of the imminent Fed rate cut.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 2 tháng trước

Quick brief – US JOLTs disappoint, Wall Street trembles

US job openings fall to the lowest since April 2021 Bets for a 50bps rate cut increase Wall Street moves between gains and loses   US JOLTs job openings retreated to the lowest in three and a half years of 7.76 million in July compared to the forecast of 8.09 million and June’s negatively revised reading of 7.91 million. The data followed a negative surprise in the ISM manufacturing PMI, with investors further raising the odds for a double rate cut to 45% on concerns the econo
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Nghiên cứu XM - 2 tháng trước

Volatility eases across the board ahead of key US data – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility drops as market prepares for an action-packed week Volatility in commodities crashes to new lows apart from oil Stock indices and bitcoin experience much lower volatility Volatility in the main FX pairs, including euro/dollar, has eased in the past few days as the market is preparing for this week’s US labour market data releases that could play a key role in determining the size of the imminent rate cut by the Fed.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 2 tháng trước

US 30 index hangs near record high – Stock Markets

US 30 benefits from weaker correlation with tech stocks; holds near record high Downside risks remain, but sentiment still positive above 41,000     The US 30 index has less exposure to AI-related technology companies and that’s partially the reason why it has gained only 9.7% year-to-date versus the double-digit growth of around 19% in the US 500 and US 100 indices.
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