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Week Ahead – US election draws all eyes, Fed, RBA and BoE meet

Traders lock gaze on Tuesday’s US electionTrump and Harris battle neck and neck in final stretchFed to decide whether to cut interest ratesRBA and BoE decisions are also on next week’s agendaThe US dollar flexed its muscles lately on the back of upbeat data suggesting that there is no need for the Fed to deliver another bold 50bps rate cut at the remaining gatherings of the year, but also due to increasing market bets that Donald Trump will return to the White House.It’s US election time!T
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Tech rally turns to selloff ahead of NFP and US election - Stock Markets

S&P 500 headed for second weekly dip as gains turn to lossesNasdaq pulls back from record highs as AI jitters returnApple earnings add to outlook worries but Amazon impressesTech rally stumblesIt’s been a turbulent week for Wall Street as, despite a positive start, renewed concerns about excessive spending on artificial intelligence (AI) dragged Big Tech stocks lower mid-week.
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Daily Comment – Volatility returns with a vengeance ahead of key US events

Month-end pushes stock indices and gold in the redMarket angst could continue going into Tuesday’s US electionFocus today is on the US labour market dataDollar fails to benefit against the euro and the yenMonth-end pushes stock indices in the redThe recent, relatively quiet, market sessions were interrupted yesterday, with a strong correction recorded in both equities and gold.
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Volatility jumps as markets prepare for action-packed period – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility climbs to a new monthly highVolatility remains very elevated in both gold and silverStock indices continue to experience average volatility Euro/dollar volatility continues to increase, achieving a new 30-day high, as the markets are preparing for Friday’s jobs report, and next week’s US presidential election and the Fed meeting.
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Cryptos prepare for a tumultuous period – Crypto News

Cryptocurrencies are on the back foot this weekBitcoin continues to outperform ethereumUS and Japan elections to impact cryptocurrenciesBitcoin fails to break above $70k levelMixed performance by the key cryptocurrenciesThe cryptocurrency market is starting to feel the chills as the US election is less than a fortnight away. Actual voting is underway with more 25m Americans having already cast their votes, particularly in the crucial states that will determine the election’s outcome.Bitcoin ha
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US elections update: The race to the White House tightens

Trump closes in on Harris’s lead in the pollsNeck and neck race spurs market jittersOutcome still hinges on battleground statesTrump narrows the gapThe time for Americans to vote for a new president is drawing ever closer, but who will win on November 5 is looking a lot less certain now than it did when Vice President Kamala Harris entered the race.
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Daily Comment – Dollar, gold and US yields continue to rise

Euro is under pressure again as ECB dovish commentary lingersGold makes a new all-time high despite the 10-year US yield riseUS equities trade with low conviction ahead of Tesla earningsBoC to announce another rate cut, loonie could sufferEuro remains on the back footThe euro is desperately trying to show some signs of life and recover against both the US dollar and the pound.
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Volatility remains elevated in FX space and commodities – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility reaches new 30-day highVolatility in both gold and silver jumpsStock indices continue to experience average volatilityEuro/dollar volatility has climbed to the highest level of the past month, as the ECB delivered its much-expected rate cut and the discussion about the November Fed meeting is underway. But more importantly, the market is preparing for the November 5 US presidential election.
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Daily Comment – Demand for safe assets lingers

Dollar, gold and US yields are on the riseUS presidential election risks start to affect market sentimentFocus today on central bank speakers at the IMF annual meetingBRICS summit could generate headlines, particularly for the Middle EastUS presidential election is firmly on the market's radarThe US dollar continues to enjoy strong demand, outperforming its main counterparts.
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Technical Analysis – US 500 index is a little wobbly near record high

US 500 stock index loses steam before reaching all-time highTechnical signals show falling buying appetite; support at 5,850 The US 500 stock index is shaky at the top of its uptrend. It recently lost some momentum, closing below October’s support trendline on the four-hour chart. This might lead to increased selling interest if the price also dips below the 20-period simple moving average (SMA) at 5,850.With technical indicators pointing to weakening buying enthusiasm, the 50-period SMA a
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Daily Comment – Gold and dollar edge up as markets bet on Trump win

US election risks move to the forefront as Trump narrows gap with HarrisGold begins week with new record as geopolitical tensions add to demandStocks mixed ahead of key earningsTrump trade makes a returnGold extended its record streak at the start of the new trading week as investors increasingly bet on Donald Trump winning the US presidential election on November 5. The precious metal climbed to all-time highs above $2,730/oz amid the growing risk of Trump returning to the White House.
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Wall Street greets Q3 earnings season with record highs – Stock Markets

Shares on Wall Street extend record streak as earnings get into full swingBut trading remains choppy amid elections, geopolitical and earnings risksAnother record highThe S&P 500 notched up its 46th record close of the year on Monday, sealing a positive start to the week as the new earnings season slowly heats up. Initial forecasts for Q3 put the earnings growth rate at 4.1%, but that figure could well rise as 79% of the S&P 500 companies that have reported so far have beaten their earni
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Cryptos rally but outlook remains clouded – Crypto News

Cryptos trade higher, driven by US equitiesSpot ETFs inflow confirm investors’ strong appetiteUS pre-election rhetoric supports cryptosBitcoin breaks above its recent trading range Cryptocurrencies are in demand again The cryptocurrency market is enjoying a rather strong week with bitcoin climbing to the highest level since late July and trading around 35% higher from the August 5 trough. The current move comes amidst a mixed environment with the markets experiencing a strong dollar, which
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Volatility eases slightly as the risk on sentiment lingers – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility is very close to the last 30 days’ highVolatility in commodities remains elevatedStock indices experience above average volatility Euro/dollar volatility remains very high, close to the highest level of the past month, as the US dollar continues to rally following a series of strong US data and some hawkish Fedspeak. Interestingly, the volatility of yen crosses has crashed across the board, with the yen surrendering another good part of its recent sizeable gains on th
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Daily Comment – US dollar and stock rally continues

Euphoria in US assets, stock indices reach new highsToday's Fed speakers could threaten Monday’s gainsOil and gold in the red, bitcoin enjoys a strong boostPound ignores jobs data, awaits Wednesday’s CPIUS stocks and dollar in the greenBoth the US dollar and main US equity indices enjoyed another strong session yesterday. Euro/dollar traded at a 45-day low, and both the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones indices recorded new all-time highs despite the Columbus Day bank holiday keeping both th
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Quick brief – Tech stocks drive Wall Street to fresh highs

S&P 500 advances to all-time high; Nasdaq 100 gains the mostTech stocks cheer on China’s stimulus news as AI optimism prevailsWall Street celebrated Columbus Day with fresh highs, with the Nasdaq 100 trading almost 1.0% up at a three-month high of 20,493 and the S&P 500 index surging 0.50% to unlock an all-time high of 5,840.Bank stocks excluding Goldman Sachs could not attract fresh impetus following Friday’s encouraging earnings from JPMorgan and Wells Fargo, while Tesla’s stock
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Daily Comment – Wall Street hits new record after Fed minutes, CPI eyed next

Fed minutes show split over September cut but Wall Street ralliesDollar eases from near 2-month high as focus turns to CPI reportGold and oil steadier after recent lossesFed minutes add little clarity The minutes of the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting published on Wednesday did little to end the uncertainty about the pace of rate reductions over the coming months.
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Wall Street hovers near record highs ahead of earnings season – Stock Markets

Stocks remain supported despite recovery in US dollar and yieldsEarnings are expected to grow in Q3, but at a slower pace than in Q2 Investors remain cautious ahead of US electionBut VIX suggests increasing volatility around the eventGood news is actually good newsAlthough investors have significantly scaled back their Fed rate cut bets lately, Wall Street’s benchmark indices did not suffer.
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Volatility skyrockets across the board after an eventful week – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility surges to the highest level of the monthVolatility in commodities reaches new monthly highStock indices experience very high volatilityEuro/dollar volatility has reached the highest level of the past 30 days, as the FX market was rocked by the strong US labour market report, denting the possibility of another 50bps Fed rate cut in November.
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Technical Analysis – US 500 pares post-NFP gains

US 500 index is edging lower, erasing part of Friday’s rallyIt remains a tad below its all-time high, inside a patternMomentum indicators could turn bearish soonThe US 500 cash index is edging lower today but remains very close to its recent all-time high. Friday’s strong US jobs report caused a significant repricing of Fed rate cut expectations and resulted in an unexpectedly positive reaction in US equities.
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